are now in the triple digits. Rumor is that an internal poll shows that Barry's unfavorable rating has doubled from 18% to 36% in the last 3 weeks. Unbelievable negative ads and a lack of name recognition (he is at 36% now) will do that to you. Also the Fleming campaign has run 4 internal polls however not a peep of their results have been released. The race is over.

By the way please lay off the fireworks. According to the Georgia Forestry Commission we are under the threat of extreme fire danger. Low humidity along with the constant breezes we are having are dangerous conditions for wild land (forest) fires. Blake my warning is not a slam of your encouraging that we celebrate the 4th using luminaries as the founders suggested, it is just to dry. I love shooting mortars with the family.

Have a safe and happy 4th.

Team Broun released yet another internal poll Wednesday. This one is a survey of 1,000 likely Republican voters by Southern Outreach Co. It shows Broun with 75 percent of the vote, Fleming with 11 percent and 14 percent undecided. Broun's favorable/unfavorables are 93-7 and Fleming's are 65-35.

If Fleming's name recognition is 36 percent does that mean almost every single person who's heard of him hates him?

For the record, I don't believe this poll any more than I believe the last three that showed Broun with 71, 68 and 80 percent.

I expect the results will show Congressman Broun with 65% of the vote on election night. Like I said earlier Barry has gone negative with outlandish charges while he has low name recognition. Also as I have stated numerous times Barry has run internal polls, none of which have been released. If they showed a different result why not give his results?

Another interesting thing to see on election night will be how many democrats vote in the primary election in the 10th.

Who knows? Part of Fleming's problem is that he is also running against the memory of Paul Broun's father. Anyone new to the game ought to ask around about the legacy; obviously Fleming didn't do his research. He should have run for another office -- he's obviously hungry and he's good on the stump. I wouldn't suggest voters are tired of the attack stuff; it's certainly rattled Broun. If Broun avoids myocardial infarction, he's destined for higher office and influence.

"he's destined for higher office and influence"

McCain's VP?

I'm guessing more like 60-40, but yeah.

I don't think there will be a whole lot of crossover. Athens Democrats have three primary races this year. There was talk of crossover in 2006 to vote for Casey Cagle but it didn't happen. If there is crossover, I think it will go to Fleming because many Dems who voted for Broun last year didn't know how conservative he was and are upset with him.

"Who knows? Part of Fleming's problem is that he is also running against the memory of Paul Broun's father. "

The memory of Senator Broun is localized in Athens / Clarke county. I would suggest it aided Congressman Broun with name recognition in the first race but has little effect today. As for democrat cross over it will be minimal in the Clarke county area. Remember when Athens / Clarke county was redistricted for the Georgia Senate. Jane Kidd stated something to the effect that Clarke county was a little island of red in a sea of blue. I don't look for democrat crossover.

Another aside I keep hearing from across the district that the letter of resignation to the Fleming campaign from Franklin County posted on this blog has had a seismic effect across the 10th like no one could imagine.

No, Broun's Senatorial district included Barrow and Oconee, also, and he was re-elected at least 18 times. It's kinda hard to argue that he was supported simply because of his name ... there may be other reasons.

If you guys want to see how Paul Broun can't pull off the open-collar, no-tie look, be sure to check out Oconee Living this Wednesday.

they are Pre-Primary reports...not 2nd quarter statements. The close of books in GA was June 25th and the report needed to be filed by July 3rd for electronic filers.

Saxon probably waited until the last minute to file. With a three day weekend he will not have to suffer any embarassment until Monday.

Saxon is such a moron. I am sure you are right, Blake. He probably was hoping that the victor in the primary election would be broke, but he does not have enough money to run a viable State House race (U.S. House is just outlandish for that guy) and he will be "running" against either an 1) an incumbent, or 2)a well established and well financed republican...why he did not qualify for a down ballot race is beyond me...probably because I am sane.

Albert, not too many voters think that way. Remember, voters are pretty stupid people (en masse). Democrats really need to vote in their own primary for Jim Martin. If Vernon wins that thing, every democrat in GA is screwed. Chambliss will attack the hell out of Vernon (with no response because no one will contribute much to Jones) and every GOP incumbent will tie Jones to their own opposition. Every race will be a Jones/____ ticket and it will really hurt our chances state-wide.

since he is not the nominee yet and since he recieved contributions for the primary campaign he is required to file a pre-primary report.

It is a matter of providing the voters information about who the candidate is receiving money from and who he/she is making disbursements to.